2026 Home Sales Forecast

700% Forecast Increase for 2026

The number of home sales forecast for 2026 is expected to be approximately 450,000 compared to the 64,000 sales of 2025, opening a 7X increase in buying opportunities during 2026 or 386,000 more homes.

Prices Will Continue to Increase

But, The Rate of Those Increases will Get Smaller Until 2029

While home prices will continue to increase over the next four years, the percentage of those rates (the amount of the increases) will continue to decline until 2029.

Consumer Sentiment Improvement

The precipitous decline in Consumer Sentiment about the FUTURE that occurred in 2021 is depicted in the graphs to the right and below. It was a response to other adverse economic factors explained further in the slides that follow.

10-Year Treasury

2021 also saw a dramatic increase in the interest rates of the 10-YEAR Treasury rates, which concomitantly drove up the rates that banks charged for home mortgages.

Factors That Impact Bank Mortgage Rates

Inflation
National Debt
Stock Market Weakness
Federal Reserve Short-Term Rates
Fed Sale of Mortgage Securities
Spread between 10 and 30-year mortgage rates

Job Market Recovery

The sharp employment reduction that occurred because of COVID, beginning in August 2020, also heighten economic adversity for consumers. Both the steep loss of jobs in 2020 and the graduated job-market recovery since then are depicted in the graph to the right.

The 50-70% Home Value Increases

50-70% Home Value Increases

With few exceptions, the values of US homes hav increased 50% to 70% since 2021: an all-time extraordinary economic factor.

A $35T Net Worth Increase

The net result for US homeowners has been an aggregate increase in homeowner equity since 2000 from $5T to $40T. Now, 40.3% of all American homes have no mortgages and are owned outright by the homeowners.

Bright Market Outlook

Multiple Signals of a Strong Performance

Interest rate declines will encourage buyers
2-year purchase trends have been strong
Foreclosure problems are trending unlikely.

2026 Nationwide Forecast

+ 14% HOME SALES
+ 4% MEDIAN HOME VALUES
+ 900,000 NEW JOBS
– 1% INTEREST RATES

Owner Wealth Increases

The personal net worth of homeowners increases as their monthly payments increase their equity. AND, the 5% average increase in market value also increases their net worth because they own their home!

10 Fold Value Increase in 30 Years!

In the chart a $39,000 home investment at age 35 grows to more than $410,000 by age 65-75. This is the best investment Americans can make!

James Bean

Listing Broker

(973) 987-7065

beanjc@gmail.com

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Middletown, NY

James shared his contagious enthusiasm for the restoration we did to our historical home at Hillcrest Estate with all the guests who visited. He drew on his personal knowledge of preservation and renovation to explain the value of our home, including development of an illustrated history of the property. James went above and beyond the expectations we had of any broker. James is fully committed to the best interests of his clients and is fair and honest with everyone.

Grand New Homes

Luxurious living, upscale amenities, secluded, natural settings in fine new or established communities.

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Park Ridge, NJ

James is a seasoned real estate professional and skillful marketer! He is a hard-working, knowledgeable, and pleasant agent, whose judgment, competence, and dedication result in successful home sales. We are happy to highlight James’ dedication, and results orientation in managing all phases of our real estate transaction. James’ ethics and hard work won our friendship and trust. He has earned our future real estate business.

Grand New Homes Discriminating LIfestyles

These beautiful areas are filled with high-value homes in exceptional settings that will make you feel as though you are on a perpetual vacation. .

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Mountain Creek, NJ

Thank you for the great job you did to find us a home, James! You worked tirelessly beyond anything we would have expected. You explained the strengths and weaknesses of the each of the homes we visited in detail. And, your years of experience in real estate and construction have been exceptionally valuable in finding the very best combination of features for our needs. Your knowledge saved us many hours of research.

Grand New Homes Exceptional Homes

Work with professionals experienced at finding these magnificent country retreats.

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Hudson River, NJ

James is a reliable and dedicated real estate professional with an excellent experience-based understanding of construction, project management, marketing and photography, which combine to provide a level of unmatched competence in his industry. James' disposition is personable, intelligent, well-informed, and helpful. We always looked forward to seeing him. We highly recommend that you engage him to sell your home.